Beitar/Riga Mariners vs Skanstes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+551%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
8º
5º
16
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 1
FKB
78%
15%
8%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
0 - 4
FSM
4%
8%
88%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 5
FKB
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
IEC
1 - 3
FKB
35%
22%
44%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FKB
4 - 1
RSU
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SKA
2 - 0
AUG
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FSM
10 - 1
SKA
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SKA
0 - 3
SMI
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 0
SKA
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
SKA
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |