Beitar/Riga Mariners vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+673%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
4º
8
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 46 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 2
ALB
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
6 - 1
PRA
27%
20%
54%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SMI
19%
17%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 3
VAL
2%
6%
92%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | +2 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
AUG
2 - 1
RIG
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
TUK
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OUD
1 - 0
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
KFV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 1
RIG
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |