Beitar/Riga Mariners vs AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
56.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+551%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
8º
5º
5
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
6 - 1
PRA
27%
20%
54%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 3
FKB
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
3 - 1
SMI
19%
17%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 3
VAL
2%
6%
92%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RFA
2 - 5
FKB
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FKB
6 - 1
PRA
27%
20%
54%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
3 - 2
PRA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 4
MAR
46%
23%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PAV
3 - 5
PRA
14%
15%
71%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SKA
2 - 3
PRA
70%
18%
11%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |