Beitar/Riga Mariners vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
73.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+673%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
3º
10
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 57 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 45 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 44 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 37 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 21 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 3
OUD
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 2
KFV
17%
20%
64%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
FKB
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 1
TUK
30%
20%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
4 - 1
TUK
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 3
KFV
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |