Baykal Irkutsk vs Polimer Barnaul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
10º
53
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baykal Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
3 - 3
TOR
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FRK
2 - 0
FKB
86%
9%
4%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 1
FKB
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FRM
6 - 0
FKB
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MET
5 - 0
FKB
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Polimer Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 3
FPB
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 2
FKN
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 2
FRM
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
FPB
1 - 0
MET
10%
19%
71%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 3
FPB
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |