Baykal Irkutsk vs FK Irkutsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+535%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
10º
29
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baykal Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
1 - 5
FPB
9%
15%
77%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKB
3 - 3
TOR
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FRK
2 - 0
FKB
86%
9%
4%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 1
FKB
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FRM
6 - 0
FKB
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FK Irkutsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FKI
1 - 2
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 3
FPB
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKY
2 - 0
FKI
10%
15%
75%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FRK
3 - 2
FKI
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 4
FKI
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +2 |