Bashkimi vs Vardar Negotino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
12º
8º
42
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SIL
3 - 2
BAS
45%
22%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
BAS
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
KGE
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
7 - 0
BAS
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 2
SAS
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
TET
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BES
4 - 1
VAN
74%
17%
10%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 1
PEL
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
VAN
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 0
FKS
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +5 |