FK Babrungas vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
4º
13
6º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Babrungas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FHL
4 - 2
BAB
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
BAB
3 - 1
FKK
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
BFA
3 - 2
BAB
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
BAB
5 - 1
FKE
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
AFK
0 - 6
BAB
6%
11%
83%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
2 - 1
BEN
17%
24%
60%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
7 - 0
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 3
ZAL
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
PAN
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 4
SIA
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |