FK Babrungas vs Neptunas Klaipėda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
4º
38
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 34 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Babrungas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 2
BAB
10%
18%
72%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
VJF
0 - 3
BAB
4%
9%
87%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 2
BAB
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 6
FKT
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 2
BAB
20%
22%
59%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Neptunas Klaipėda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NEP
3 - 0
BEN
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
FKD
1 - 3
NEP
4%
9%
88%
|
67 | 12 | 55 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 0
NEP
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NEP
2 - 0
ZAL
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 4
NEP
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |