FK Babrungas vs Minija Kretinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
4º
17
7º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Babrungas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 0
BAB
28%
22%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRO
6 - 1
BAB
49%
21%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 0
ATM
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FKB
1 - 1
BAB
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 33 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
PAN
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
MIN
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
TRA
13%
22%
64%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
FKB
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 0
MIN
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |