Ayzharik Shimkent vs Gefest Qaraghandi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayzharik Shimkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KAS
3 - 0
AYZ
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
AKJ
3 - 0
AYZ
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AYZ
0 - 3
KAI
29%
27%
45%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
AYZ
0 - 3
ILI
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 1
AYZ
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gefest Qaraghandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
GEF
0 - 1
ZST
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
GEF
0 - 1
SPA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 0
GEF
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EKI
2 - 1
GEF
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GEF
0 - 0
BUL
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |