Avangard Kursk II vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
ATO
5 - 0
FAK
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAK
0 - 1
FSB
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
YEL
3 - 1
FAK
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FAK
2 - 1
FLB
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FAK
5 - 1
MTO
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
ORE
0 - 3
LOK
14%
24%
62%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
AKA
2 - 0
ORE
18%
20%
61%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -4 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ORE
1 - 1
FDB
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MET
2 - 1
ORE
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ORE
3 - 1
FML
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |