Arys vs Zhetisay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ARY
1 - 2
KAI
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
ULY
4 - 1
ARY
35%
24%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ARY
0 - 1
AKZ
28%
26%
45%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
AKZ
2 - 1
ARY
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
ARY
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetisay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
FKZ
2 - 0
TAR
23%
25%
51%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 2
FKZ
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SDF
1 - 2
FKZ
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 3
FKK
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 2
ULY
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |