Arys vs Aktobe II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
0 - 1
ARY
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ARY
0 - 0
FKK
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ARY
0 - 2
KAS
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
ARY
0 - 0
KAS
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FJQ
1 - 0
ARY
14%
17%
69%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aktobe II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
EKI
3 - 0
FKA
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
KYR
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
FKY
17%
20%
62%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
KKY
3 - 1
FKA
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
4 - 1
FKA
14%
15%
72%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +5 |