Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
SUT
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JEZ
4 - 0
FKA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
4 - 2
RUD
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
DEC
40%
28%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKM
1 - 2
FKA
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 1
FKM
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOR
51%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JEZ
3 - 1
MOR
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUD
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |