Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 1
FKA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 2
FKA
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 5
PAK
10%
14%
76%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SUT
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 0
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
ZEL
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
ZBE
2 - 0
MOR
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |