Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
43
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
FKA
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FKA
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 2
FKA
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
RUD
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
SUT
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
JEZ
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 1
JEZ
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 2
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 1
JEZ
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |