Arsenal Tivat vs Iskra Danilovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
31
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 0
JED
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
JEZ
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JED
2 - 2
FKA
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 2
FKA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iskra Danilovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 1
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 2
SUT
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
3 - 1
IKD
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
0 - 0
DEC
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 1
IKD
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |