Arsenal Tivat vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FKM
1 - 2
FKA
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
PET
44%
26%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BUD
6 - 0
FKA
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
JED
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
FKA
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 0
SUT
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
JEZ
1 - 1
DEC
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
3 - 1
RUD
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 1
MOR
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FKM
0 - 3
DEC
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |