Arsenal Tivat vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
FKA
66%
19%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
3 - 0
IKD
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 0
JED
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
JEZ
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
SUT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 1
DEC
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 0
MLJ
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 1
PET
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEC
0 - 0
BUD
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |