Arsenal Tivat vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
70
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IKD
0 - 1
FKA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 1
BUD
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
SUT
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
BUD
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
IKD
3 - 0
BUD
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BUD
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |