Arsenal Tivat vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
70
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 3
FKA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
2 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
JEZ
2 - 1
FKA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
PET
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 1
BUD
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
2 - 0
SUT
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
RUD
0 - 1
BUD
16%
23%
62%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 2
DEC
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PET
4 - 2
BUD
21%
24%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |