Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FKA
3 - 0
GRA
86%
11%
4%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GOM
0 - 1
FKA
36%
26%
37%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 1
FKA
4%
16%
80%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FKA
4 - 1
FCS
88%
9%
3%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
LID
1 - 0
FKA
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
ZOR
4 - 1
SMO
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SMO
0 - 3
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SHA
4 - 0
SMO
76%
17%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
SMO
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
SMO
3 - 1
ISL
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |