Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Maxline Vitebsk analysis


77	ELO	77
-4.7%	Tilt	0.5%
1077º	General ELO ranking	913º
11º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

38%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

26.2%

Draw

35.8%

Maxline Vitebsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

38%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%

26.2%

Draw

0-0

7.2%

1-1

12.5%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

26.2%

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

18

8º

14º

8º

39

1º

6º

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	39	64	1º	79%
2º	31	53	2º	25.5%
6º	27	52	3º	17%
3º	29	51	4º	18%
4º	29	51	5º	12%
5º	28	50	6º	12.5%
7º	24	46	7º	18%
10º	18	40	8º	17%
9º	18	40	9º	14.5%
11º	18	40	10º	12%
8º	21	40	11º	17.5%
12º	16	38	12º	20%
13º	14	32	13º	29.5%
14º	11	27	14º	35.5%
15º	8	24	15º	38%
16º	4	17	16º	69%

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Expected probabilities

Champions League qualifying phase	0%	79%
Conference League knock out round	1%	14.5%
Mid-table	98%	6.5%
Relegation play-offs	1%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 Jul. 2025	FKA 1 - 0 MOL 61% 21% 19%	76	65	11	0
13 Jul. 2025	LID 0 - 1 FKA 22% 23% 56%	76	64	12	0
06 Jul. 2025	FKA 0 - 1 NAF 57% 24% 19%	77	68	9	-1
29 Jun. 2025	FKS 0 - 3 FKA 31% 28% 41%	77	73	4	0
22 Jun. 2025	FKA 2 - 1 DNM 43% 27% 30%	77	77	0	0

Matches

Maxline Vitebsk

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
26 Jul. 2025	MKK 2 - 0 PFK 85% 11% 4%	77	22	55
13 Jul. 2025	BAR 1 - 2 MKK 15% 19% 66%	77	59	18
03 Jul. 2025	MKK 2 - 0 DNM 47% 26% 27%	77	77	0
28 Jun. 2025	GOM 0 - 2 MKK 37% 26% 37%	77	77	0
21 Jun. 2025	MKK 0 - 0 MOL 68% 19% 13%	77	62	15