Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
14º
8º
8
14º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 64 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 40 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 27 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MKK
2 - 2
FKA
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ISL
0 - 1
FKA
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
DIN
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BAT
2 - 1
FKA
58%
21%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 1
OFC
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FKS
2 - 0
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
OFC
0 - 1
FCS
25%
21%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DNM
1 - 0
FCS
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
3 - 3
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 0
FKA
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |