FK Arendal vs Sandnes Ulf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
10º
5º
31
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 73.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FFC
1 - 1
FKA
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
34%
22%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
FKA
57%
20%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
EID
0 - 1
FKA
64%
18%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
VIN
0 - 3
FKA
22%
20%
58%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sandnes Ulf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 1
ETO
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 0
FFC
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
FKA
57%
20%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
VAR
63%
18%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
VEN
0 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |