FK Arendal vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
36
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
ORN
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 1
JER
45%
23%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
RIL
0 - 8
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
FKA
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
LYN
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 1
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 5
ODD
11%
17%
72%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KJE
4 - 1
NOT
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
POR
0 - 2
NOT
40%
22%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |