FK Arendal vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
11º
10º
48
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
KVI
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
FKA
37%
24%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 1
BRY
28%
23%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
ORN
63%
20%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 3
FKA
20%
20%
60%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
JER
46%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SSK
0 - 2
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
JER
0 - 3
STR
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
HOD
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |