FK Arendal vs Eik Tønsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
10º
5º
19
5º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 4
FKA
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
2 - 1
FKA
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
3 - 3
BRA
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
FKA
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FKA
6 - 1
BRA
39%
23%
38%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Eik Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
LYS
52%
22%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ETO
2 - 0
TRA
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 2
ETO
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ETO
4 - 4
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |