FK Arendal vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
10º
5º
16
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
JER
1 - 1
FKA
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
SSK
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 0
TRA
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
NOT
1 - 1
FKA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2025 |
BRA
4 - 3
FFC
61%
20%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 1
BRA
23%
22%
56%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
LYS
3 - 2
BRA
42%
24%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
BRA
4 - 3
BRA
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |