Almus Bir vs Chavdar Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almus Bir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
4 - 1
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chavdar Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
AKA
2 - 0
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 3
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ETA
3 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |