Alay Osh vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FTS
0 - 2
FKA
21%
23%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
KBA
0 - 1
FKA
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 0
TAL
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
DBI
2 - 0
FKA
55%
22%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 1
FKA
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KBA
1 - 0
NEF
11%
19%
70%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
3 - 2
FTS
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 1
TAL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 3
NEF
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 3
MUR
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |