Alay Osh vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
FKA
2 - 3
FKA
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AKF
1 - 2
FKA
4%
9%
88%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 0
FKA
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FKA
1 - 3
DBI
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FKA
2 - 0
KBA
91%
7%
3%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
NEF
1 - 0
DBI
11%
18%
72%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NEF
3 - 1
FTS
66%
18%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KBA
1 - 2
NEF
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
DBI
3 - 0
NEF
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FKA
0 - 4
NEF
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |