Fjordager vs Aarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fjordager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAS
5 - 2
FJO
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FJO
2 - 3
MAR
19%
21%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAD
2 - 1
FJO
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FJO
1 - 1
NAE
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BON
1 - 0
FJO
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
OKS
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 2
AAR
40%
23%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 3
AAR
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HAD
2 - 4
AAR
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |