Five Islands vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 3
FIV
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FIV
0 - 1
ORO
49%
21%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 0
FIV
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ORO
3 - 1
FIV
30%
21%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
FIV
49%
23%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TRY
0 - 2
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
TRY
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TRY
1 - 1
VLI
73%
15%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
TRY
2 - 2
HOP
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
TRY
1 - 0
LIB
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |