Five Islands vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 0
ORO
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 2
SAP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FIV
0 - 0
PAR
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PBU
0 - 2
FIV
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
FIV
4 - 0
HOP
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TRY
1 - 0
PAR
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HOP
2 - 1
TRY
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TRY
2 - 0
ORO
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
TRY
1 - 1
SWE
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
TRY
4 - 2
EGF
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |