Five Islands vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 0
VLI
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
4 - 1
FIV
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 3
TRY
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
FIV
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +10 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 1
FIV
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 0
SAP
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAP
3 - 2
LIB
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAP
2 - 2
EGF
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 4
HOP
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ORO
3 - 0
SAP
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |