Five Islands vs Blue Jays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
16º
16º
10
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FIV
1 - 4
WIL
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
PBU
2 - 0
FIV
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
FIV
49%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 0
FIV
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FIV
1 - 3
ALL
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Blue Jays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
BLU
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAP
1 - 2
BLU
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | +1 |