La Fiorita vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
6 - 0
LIB
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
3 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 0
TFI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FOL
0 - 2
VIR
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |