La Fiorita vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 4
FOL
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 0
FIO
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
1 - 1
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SGI
0 - 1
FIO
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
0 - 1
DOM
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 1
CAI
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
VIR
17%
22%
60%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 2
FAE
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 2
SGI
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |