La Fiorita vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
JUV
3 - 1
FIO
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FIO
2 - 0
FOL
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FIO
0 - 3
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
43%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FIO
4 - 1
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 2
FAE
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TPE
2 - 2
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SGI
0 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
1 - 2
MUR
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |