La Fiorita vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 0
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
ZIM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
COS
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |