La Fiorita vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
4 - 0
DOM
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
5 - 2
DOM
71%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SGI
0 - 4
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
TPE
4 - 6
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
LIB
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |