La Fiorita vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
JUV
0 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 1
DOM
28%
25%
46%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 4
FIO
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
FOL
1 - 3
TPE
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 3
CAI
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 2
FOL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
TFI
5 - 0
FOL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |