La Fiorita vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
CAI
1 - 4
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 1
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 0
FIO
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FIO
3 - 6
FIO
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FIO
2 - 2
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
COS
1 - 0
JUV
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 0
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |