La Fiorita vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FAE
1 - 4
FIO
10%
22%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 0
FIO
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 1
ZIM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
COS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAI
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 2
FOL
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAI
1 - 6
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
6 - 0
CAI
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
COS
5 - 1
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |