Fiorentino vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 2
FAE
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
2 - 3
PEN
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 1
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LIB
6 - 0
COS
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 5
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 3
TPE
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |