Fiorentino vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
4 - 3
FOL
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
FIO
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 1
FAE
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TPE
0 - 3
FAE
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 0
FAE
36%
26%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 1
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FAE
2 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |