Serie AB Sub 16 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Fiorentina U16 vs Parma U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
FIO
43%
22%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
LZO
91%
7%
2%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
LZO
2 - 2
FIO
4%
11%
85%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
NPL
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NPL
0 - 4
FIO
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
FIO
43%
22%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
ATA
86%
9%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATA
1 - 1
PAR
8%
14%
78%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BNV
92%
6%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
PAR
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |