Finlandia U20 vs Suecia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finlandia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 3
DEN
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
FIN
3 - 0
BLR
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Suecia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 0
SWE
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
SWE
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1991 |
CIV
1 - 4
SWE
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |